FIREBIRD2 ODAR

0384-EX-PL-2014 Text Documents

Montana State University

2014-05-07ELS_148970

April 11, 2014



                 Orbital Debris Assessment for
                   FIREBIRD-2 a/b on the
                  SMAP /ELaNa-10 Mission
                  per NASA-STD 8719.14A




                  Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)


REFERENCES:

    A. NASA Procedural Requirements for Limiting Orbital Debris Generation, NPR
       8715.6A, 5 February 2008
    B. Process for Limiting Orbital Debris, NASA-STD-8719.14A, 25 May 2012
    C. SMAP / Delta II 7320-10 Interface Control Document, Orbital Document, ULA-
       Delta II-ICD-12-014, Baseline August 2013
    D. McKissock, Barbara, Patricia Loyselle, and Elisa Vogel. Guidelines on Lithium-
       ion Battery Use in Space Applications. Tech. no. RP-08-75. NASA Glenn
       Research Center Cleveland, Ohio
    E. UL Standard for Safety for Lithium Batteries, UL 1642. UL Standard. 4th ed.
       Northbrook, IL, Underwriters Laboratories, 2007
    F. Kwas, Robert. Thermal Analysis of ELaNa-4 CubeSat Batteries, ELVL-2012-
       0043254; Nov 2012
    G. Range Safety User Requirements Manual Volume 3- Launch Vehicles, Payloads,
       and Ground Support Systems Requirements, AFSCM 91-710 V3.
    H. Preliminary Mission Analysis For the Delta II 7320-10 / SMAP Spacecraft
       Missio, CRDL C4-1, PGAA No.2, ULA-TP-13-245
    I. UL Standard for Safety for Household and Commercial Batteries, UL 2054. UL
       Standard. 2nd ed. Northbrook, IL, Underwriters Laboratories, 2005
    J. HQ OSMA Policy Memo/Email to 8719.14: CubeSat Battery Non-Passivation,
       Suzanne Aleman to Justin Treptow, 10, March 2014


The intent of this report is to satisfy the orbital debris requirements listed in ref. (a) for
the FIREBIRD-2 CubeSat on the ELaNa-10 auxiliary mission launching in conjunction
with the SMAP primary payload. It serves as the final submittal in support of the
spacecraft Safety and Mission Success Review (SMSR). Sections 1 through 8 of ref. (b)
are addressed in this document; sections 9 through 14 fall under the requirements levied
on the primary spacecraft and are not presented here.




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The following table summarizes the compliance status of the GRIFEX CubeSat as part of
the ELaNa-10 auxiliary payload mission flown on SMAP. The four CubeSats, manifested
and back-ups, comprising the ELaNa-10 mission are fully compliant with all applicable
requirements.

            Table 1: Orbital Debris Requirement Compliance Matrix
Requirement                Compliance Assessment    Comments
4.3-1a                     Not applicable           No planned debris release
4.3-1b                     Not applicable           No planned debris release
4.3-2                      Not applicable           No planned debris release
4.4-1                      Compliant                Minimal risk to orbital
                                                    environment, mitigated by
                                                    orbital lifetime
4.4-2                      Compliant                Minimal risk to orbital
                                                    environment, mitigated by
                                                    orbital lifetime
4.4-3                      Not applicable           No planned breakups
4.4-4                      Not applicable           No planned breakups
4.5-1                      Compliant
4.5-2                      Not applicable
4.6-1(a)                   Compliant                Worst case lifetime 8.0 yrs
4.6-1(b)                   Not applicable
4.6-1(c)                   Not applicable
4.6-2                      Not applicable
4.6-3                      Not applicable
4.6-4                      Not applicable           Passive disposal
4.6-5                      Compliant
4.7-1                      Compliant                Non-credible risk of human
                                                    casualty
4.8-1                      Compliant                No planned tether release
                                                    under ELaNa-10 mission




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Section 1: Program Management and Mission Overview

The ELaNa-10 mission is sponsored by the Space Operations Mission Directorate at
NASA Headquarters. The Program Executive is Jason Crusan. Responsible
program/project manager and senior scientific and management personnel are as follows:

FireBird-2: Dave Klumpar, Principle Investigator; Keith Mashburn, Project Manager




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                   Program	
  Milestone	
  Schedule	
  
                              Task	
                                Date	
  
                      CubeSat	
  Selection	
                         3/4/13	
  
                              MRR	
                                  7/9/14	
  
             CubeSat	
  Delivery	
  to	
  Cal	
  Poly	
  for	
  
                Integration	
  into	
  P-­‐PODs	
                   8/11/14	
  
                       Pre-­‐Ship	
  Review	
                       10/1/14	
  
          CubeSat	
  Delivery	
  to	
  VAFB/	
  Integration	
  
                             onto	
  LV	
                           10/25/14	
  
                             Launch	
                              11/5/2014	
  

                         Figure 1: Program Milestone Schedule


The ELaNa-10 mission will be launched as an auxiliary payload on the SMAP mission on
a Delta II 7320-10 launch vehicle from Vandenberg Air Force Base, California. The
ELaNa-10, will deploy 4 pico-satellites (or CubeSats). The CubeSat slotted position is
identified in Table 2. The ELaNa-10 manifest includes: ExoCube, FireBird-2, and
GRIFEX. The current launch date is in November 2014. The four CubeSats will be
ejected from 3 PPOD carriers attached to the launch vehicle, placing the CubeSats in an
orbit approximately 670 X 450 km at inclination of 98 deg (ref. (h)).




                              Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)                       5


 Section 2: Spacecraft Description

 There are four CubeSats flying on the ELaNa-10 Mission. They will be deployed out of
 three PPODs, as shown in Table 2: ELaNa-10 CubeSats below.

                               Table 2: ELaNa-10 CubeSats

              CubeSat                                           CubeSat          CubeSat
PPOD Slot                          CubeSat size
              Quantity                                           Names          Masses (kg)
        2.1      2        1.5U (10 cm X 10 cm X 15 cm)         FireBird-2a         1.7
        2.2               1.5U (10 cm X 10 cm X 15 cm)         FireBird-2b         1.7



 	
  




                  Figure 2: Exploded view of the FireBird-2 CubeSats
 FireBird-2, which stands for Focused Investigations of Relativistic Electron Burst,
 Intensity, Range, and Dynamics, is funded by the National Science Foundation.

 The mission is a targeted, goal-directed, space weather CubeSat mission to resolve the
 spatial scale size and energy dependence of electron microbursts in the Van Allen
 radiation belts. Relativistic electron microbursts appear as short durations of intense
 electron precipitation measured by particle detectors on low altitude spacecraft, seen
 when their orbits cross magnetic field lines which thread the outer radiation belt. Previous
 spacecraft missions (e.g., SAMPEX) have quantified important aspects of
 microburst properties (e.g., occurrence probabilities), however, some crucial properties
 (i.e., spatial scale) remain
 elusive owing to the space-time ambiguity inherent to single spacecraft missions. While
 microbursts are thought to be a significant loss mechanism for relativistic electrons, they
 remain poorly understood, thus rendering space weather models of Earth’s radiation belts
 incomplete. FireBird-2’s unique two-point, focused observations at low altitudes, that


                           Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)                                6


fully exploit the capabilities of the CubeSat platform, will answer three fundamental
scientific questions with space weather implications:

The CubeSats will deploy out of the P-POD and when the system turns on thereafter a 45
minute timer begins to tick. After 45 minutes, the flight computer will engage the antenna
deployment sequence and the system will begin UHF beacon transmissions at a 15
second cadence. The payloads, which are solid state particle detectors, are powered on
following the automated antenna deployment sequence and the mission will begin
gathering science data. Periodic downlink of science telemetry will take place only when
initiated by the ground station at MSU. After the initial contact is established with the
CubeSats, the beacon cadence is increased to a 30 second cadence. This mission is set to
last 3 months nominally with an extended period of 6 months pending vehicle
performance and operations funding.

The CubeSat structural components are made of the following aluminum alloys: 5052-
H32, 7075-T6, and 6061-T6. It contains all standard commercial off the shelf (COTS)
materials, electrical components, PCBs and solar cells. The GPS patch antenna radio uses
a ceramic patch antenna and the UHF/VHF antennas are made of spring steel.

There are no pressure vessels, hazardous or exotic materials.

FIREBIRD-2 (a/b) uses all Tenergy Li-Ion, 3.7 V 2600 mAh batteries (Item number
30011-02). The UL listing number is MH48285. There is battery protection circuitry and
over-charge protection circuitry. All batteries are connected in parallel. These are the
same batteries used on CP8.




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Figure 3: 1U CubeSat Specification




Figure 4: 3U CubeSat Specification




Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)     8


Section 3: Assessment of Spacecraft Debris Released during Normal
Operations

The assessment of spacecraft debris requires the identification of any object (>1 mm)
expected to be released from the spacecraft any time after launch, including object
dimensions, mass, and material.

The section 3 requires rationale/necessity for release of each object, time of release of
each object, relative to launch time, release velocity of each object with respect to
spacecraft, expected orbital parameters (apogee, perigee, and inclination) of each object
after release, calculated orbital lifetime of each object, including time spent in Low Earth
Orbit (LEO), and an assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.3-1 and
4.3-2.

No releases are planned on the ELaNa-10 CubeSat mission therefore this section is not
applicable.




                          Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)                                 9


Section 4: Assessment of Spacecraft Intentional Breakups and Potential for
Explosions.


There are NO plans for designed spacecraft breakups, explosions, or intentional
collisions on the ELANA-10 mission. No passivation of components is planned at the
End of Mission for the RACE CubeSat.

The probability of battery explosion is very low, and, due to the very small mass of the
satellites and their short orbital lifetimes the effect of an explosion on the far-term LEO
environment is negligible (ref (j)).

FIREBIRD-2’s batteries still meet Req. 56450 (4.4-2) by virtue of the HQ OSMA policy
statement regarding CubeSat battery disconnect, stating;

       “CubeSats as a satellite class need not disconnect their batteries if flown in LEO
       with orbital lifetimes less than 25 years.” (ref. (j))

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.4-1 through 4.4-4 shows that
with a lifetime of 8.0 years maximum the ELANA-10 CubeSats are compliant.




                          Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)                                    10


Section 5: Assessment of Spacecraft Potential for On-Orbit Collisions

 Calculation of spacecraft probability of collision with space objects larger than 10 cm in
diameter during the orbital lifetime of the spacecraft takes into account both the mean
cross sectional area and orbital lifetime.

The largest mean cross sectional area (CSA) among the four CubeSats is that of the
ExoCube CubeSat with booms deployed (10 X 10 X 30 cm with two deployable, “T”
shaped booms 1.5 X 30 cm):

                                   𝑺𝒖𝒓𝒇𝒂𝒄𝒆  𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂               𝟐∗ 𝒘∗𝒍 +𝟒∗ 𝒘∗𝒉
            𝑴𝒆𝒂𝒏  𝑪𝑺𝑨 =                                  =
                                            𝟒                                    𝟒
                Equation	
  1:	
  Mean	
  Cross	
  Sectional	
  Area	
  for	
  Cubic	
  Objects	
  


                                                      𝑨𝒎𝒂𝒙 + 𝑨𝟏 + 𝑨𝟏
                                𝑴𝒆𝒂𝒏  𝑪𝑺𝑨 =   
                                                                𝟐
              Equation	
  2:	
  Mean	
  Cross	
  Sectional	
  Area	
  for	
  Complex	
  Objects

All CubeSats evaluated for this ODAR are stowed in a convex configuration, indicating
there are no elements of the CubeSats obscuring another element of the same CubeSats
from view. Thus, mean CSA for all stowed CubeSats was calculated using Equation 1.
This configuration renders the longest orbital life times for all CubeSats.

Once a CubeSat has been ejected from the P-POD and deployables have been extended
Equation 2 is utilized to determine the mean CSA. Amax is identified as the view that
yields the maximum cross-sectional area. A1 and A2 are the two cross-sectional areas
orthogonal to Amax. Refer to Appendix A for dimensions used in these calculations

 The ExoCube orbit at deployment is 670 km apogee altitude by 450 km perigee altitude,
with an inclination of 98 degrees. With an area to mass (3.8 kg) ratio of 0.0104 m2/kg,
DAS yields 8.0 years for orbit lifetime for its stowed state, which in turn is used to obtain
the collision probability. Even with the variation in CubeSat design and orbital lifetime
ELaNa-10 CubeSats see an average of 10-6.0 probability of collision. ExoCube sees the
highest probability of collision of 10-5.8. Table 4 below provides complete results.




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Table 3: CubeSat Orbital Lifetime & Collision Probability

                               CubeSat	
                        FireBird-­‐2	
  a/b	
  
                               Mass	
  (kg)	
                          1.7	
  
                                                                         	
  	
  
                     Mean	
  C/S	
  Area	
  (m^2)	
                 0.0185	
  




  Stowed	
  
                    Area-­‐to	
  Mass	
  (m^2/kg)	
                 0.0109	
  
                     Orbital	
  Lifetime	
  (yrs)	
                    7.8	
  
                 Probability	
  of	
  collision	
  (10^X)	
          -­‐6.2	
  
                                                                         	
  	
  
                     Mean	
  C/S	
  Area	
  (m^2)	
                 0.0255	
  
  Deployed	
        Area-­‐to	
  Mass	
  (m^2/kg)	
                 0.0150	
  
                     Orbital	
  Lifetime	
  (yrs)	
                    7.1	
  
                 Probability	
  of	
  collision	
  (10^X)	
          -­‐6.1	
  




                 Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)


                 Figure 5: Highest Risk of Orbit Collision vs. Altitude

There will be no post-mission disposal operation. As such the identification of all systems
and components required to accomplish post-mission disposal operation, including
passivation and maneuvering, is not applicable.




                           Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)


The probability of a FIREBIRD-2 collision with debris and meteoroids greater than 10
cm in diameter and capable of preventing post-mission disposal is less than
10-6.2, for any configuration. This satisfies the 0.001 maximum probability requirement
4.5-1.

Since FIREBIRD-2 has no capability or plan for end-of-mission disposal, requirement
4.5-2 is not applicable.

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.5-1 shows FIREBIRD-2 to be
compliant. Requirement 4.5-2 is not applicable to this mission.

Section 6: Assessment of Spacecraft Postmission Disposal Plans and Procedures

FIREBIRD-2 will naturally decay from orbit within 25 years after end of the mission,
satisfying requirement 4.6-1a detailing the spacecraft disposal option.

Planning for spacecraft maneuvers to accomplish postmission disposal is not applicable.
Disposal is achieved via passive atmospheric reentry.

Calculating the area-to-mass ratio for the worst-case (smallest Area-to-Mass) post-
mission disposal finds FIREBIRD-2 in its stowed configuration as the worst case. The
area-to-mass is calculated for is as follows:

                 𝑴𝒆𝒂𝒏   𝑪 𝑺 𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂  (𝒎𝟐 )                      𝒎𝟐
                                        = 𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂 − 𝒕𝒐 − 𝑴𝒂𝒔𝒔  ( )
                    𝑴𝒂𝒔𝒔  (𝒌𝒈)                               𝒌𝒈


                              Equation 3: Area to Mass


                                0.0185  𝑚!            𝑚!
                                           =   0.0109
                                  1.7  𝑘𝑔             𝑘𝑔

The assessment of FIREBIRD-2 illustrates they are compliant with Requirements 4.6-1
through 4.6-5.

DAS 2.0.2 Orbital Lifetime Calculations:

DAS inputs are: 450 km minimum perigee X 670 km apogee altitudes with an inclination
of 98 degrees at deployment in November of 2014. An area to mass ratio of 0.0109	
  m2/kg
for the FIREBIRD-2 CubeSat was inputted. DAS 2.0.2 yields a 7.8 years orbit lifetime
for FIREBIRD-2 in its stowed state. 	
  

This meets requirement 4.6-1. For the complete list of CubeSat orbital lifetimes reference
Table 3: CubeSat Orbital Lifetime & Collision Probability

The DAS assessment shows compliance.




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Section 7: Assessment of Spacecraft Reentry Hazards

A detailed assessment of the components to be flown on FIREBIRD-2 was performed.
The assessment used DAS 2.0, a conservative tool used by the NASA Orbital Debris
Office to verify Requirement 4.7-1. The analysis is intended to provide a bounding
analysis for characterizing the survivability of a CubeSat’s component during re-entry.
For example, when DAS shows a component surviving reentry it is not taking into
account the material ablating away or charring due to oxidative heating. Both physical
effects are experienced upon reentry and will decrease the mass and size of the real-life
components as the reenter the atmosphere, reducing the risk they pose still further.

The following steps are used to identify and evaluate a components potential reentry risk
relative to the 4.7-1 requirement of having less than 15 J of kinetic energy and a 1:10,000
probability of a human casualty in the event the survive reentry.

                   1. Low melting temperature (less than 1000 °C) components are identified as
                      materials that would never survive reentry and pose no risk to human
                      casualty. This is confirmed through DAS analysis that showed materials
                      with melting temperatures equal to or below that of copper (1080  °C) will
                      always demise upon reentry for any size component up to the dimensions
                      of a 1U CubeSat.

                   2. The remaining high temperature materials are shown to pose negligible
                      risk to human casualty through a bounding DAS analysis of the highest
                      temperature components, stainless steel (1500°C). If a component is of
                      similar dimensions and has a melting temperature between 1000 °C and
                      1500°C, it can be expected to posses the same negligible risk as stainless
                      steel components. See Table 4.

                               Table 4: FIREBIRD-2 Stainless Steel DAS Analysis	
  
                   Stainless	
  Steel	
                          Length	
  /	
  
 CubeSat	
                                  Mass	
  (g)	
                            Width	
  (cm)	
     Height	
  (cm)	
     Demise	
  Alt	
  (km)	
     KE	
  (J)	
  
                    Components	
                              Diameter	
  (cm)	
  
FireBird-­‐2	
      VHF	
  Antenna	
             15	
                 1	
                  50	
               <0.1	
                     0	
                  1	
  
FireBird-­‐2	
      UHF	
  Antenna	
              8	
                 1	
                  10	
               <0.1	
                     0	
                  0	
  
FireBird-­‐2	
      Sep	
  Switches	
             1	
                0.2	
                0.5	
                                       77.9	
                  0	
  
                                                                                                                	
  
FireBird-­‐2	
     ADCS	
  Magnets	
           5.09	
              0.952	
                                   0.952	
                    74	
                  0	
  
                                                                                             	
  


The majority of stainless steel components demise upon reentry. The components that
DAS conservatively identifies as reaching the ground have 1 or less joules of kinetic
energy, far below the requirement of 15 joules. No stainless steel component will pose a
risk to human casualty as defined by the Range Commander’s Council. In fact, any injury
incurred or inflicted by an object with such low energy would be negligible and wouldn’t
require the individual to seek medical attention.

Through the method described above, Table 4: FIREBIRD-2 Stainless Steel DAS
Analysis, and the full component lists in the Appendix FIREBIRD-2 is conservatively
shown to be in compliance with Requirement 4.7-1 of NASA-STD-8719.14A.



                                            Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)                                                                                      15


See the Appendix for a complete accounting of the survivability of all FIREBIRD-2
components.




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Section 8: Assessment for Tether Missions

FIREBIRD-2 will not be deploying any tethers.

FIREBIRD-2 satisfies Section 8’s requirement 4.8-1.




                        Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)   17


Section 9-14

ODAR sections 9 through 14 for the launch vehicle are addressed in ref. (g), and are not
covered here.




                         Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)                              18


    Appendix A.              FIREBIRD-2 a/b Component List

                    External/Internal
                                                                                                Diameter/    Length   Height    Low       Melting
     Name            (Major/Minor       Qty          Material           Body Type    Mass (g)                                                              Comment
                                                                                                Width (mm)    (mm)    (mm)     Melting   Temp (°C)
                     Components)
   FireBird-2                            2          CubeSat                Box         2000        100        100      150       yes                          Demise
CubeSat Structure    External - Major    1      5052H32 aluminum           Box         308                                       yes                          Demise
                                                                                                                                                     Negligible Risk: KE ~ 1 J
 VHF Antenna         External - Major    1        Spring Steel 410       Rectangle      15          10        500      <1        no        1532
                                                                                                                                                           See Table 4
                                                                                                                                                     Negligible Risk: KE ~ 0 J
 UHF Antenna         External - Major    1        Spring Steel 410       Rectangle      8           10        100      <1        no        1532
                                                                                                                                                           See Table 4
  Solar Panels       External - Major    4      FR4 PCB Fiberglass       Rectangle     52.5         85        130      n/a       yes                          Demise
                                                                                                                                                              Demise
  Sep Switches       External - Minor    1        Steel and Delrin       Rectangle      1           2          5       n/a       no        1500
                                                                                                                                                           See Table 4
                                               FR4 PCB Fiberglass and
  GPS Antenna        External - Minor    1                                Square        30          20         20      n/a       yes                         Demise
                                                       Copper
    Batteries        Internal - Major    2           Lithium Ion         Cylinder       48        18.29       N/A     65.05      yes                         Demise
                                              Nickel-plated Neodymium                                                                                        Demise
 ADCS Magnets        Internal - Major    1                               Cylinder      5.09        9.52       N/A      9.52      no        1300
                                                     Grade N52                                                                                             See Table 4
 Payload Board       Internal - Major   3        FR4 PCB Fiberglass       Square       120         95         95       n/a       yes                         Demise
  Comm Board         Internal - Major   1        FR4 PCB Fiberglass       Square       78          95         95       n/a       yes                         Demise
  Battery Board      Internal - Major   1        FR4 PCB Fiberglass       Square       158         95         95       n/a       yes                         Demise
  C&DH Board         Internal - Major   1        FR4 PCB Fiberglass       Square       92          95         95       n/a       yes                         Demise
    Fasteners        Internal - Minor   57         Stainless Steel       Rectangle      1          n/a        n/a      n/a       no        1500              Demise
 Cabling - Board
                     Internal - Minor    1         Copper Alloy            N/A         n/a         n/a        n/a      n/a       yes                         Demise
     Traces
 Cabling - Solar
                     Internal - Minor    4            Teflon               Wire         5           3          40      n/a       yes                         Demise
 Array Harness




                                                                     Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)



Document Created: 2014-05-07 12:42:14
Document Modified: 2014-05-07 12:42:14

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