Orbital Debris Assessment Report

0456-EX-PL-2015 Text Documents

California State University, Northridge

2015-10-06ELS_167896

ELVL-2015-xxxxxxx (DRAFT)
September 29, 2015




                    Orbital Debris Assessment for
                         CSUNSat1 Mission
                     per NASA-STD 8719.14A




                                                    1


                       Signature Page




            _______________________________
         Justin Treptow, Analyst, NASA KSC VA-H1


            ________________________________
   Scott Higginbotham, Mission Manager, NASA KSC VA-C


           _________________________________
     Jason Crusan, Program Executive, NASA HQ SOMD


           _________________________________
Suzanne Aleman, NASA HQ OSMA MMOD Program Executive




        Signatures Required for Final Version of ODAR




           _________________________________
Terrence W. Wilcutt, NASA Chief, Safety and Mission Assurance


          _________________________________
            William Gerstenmaier, NASA AA,
    Human Exploration and Operations Mission Directorate.




                                                                2


                    National Aeronautics and
                    Space Administration

                    John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida
                    Kennedy Space Center, FL 32899

                                                                                                       ELVL-2015-xxxxxx

Reply to Attn of:   VA-H1                                                                               September 29, 2015

                    TO:             Scott Higginbotham, LSP Mission Manager, NASA/KSC/VA-C

                    FROM:           Justin Treptow, NASA/KSC/VA-H1

                    SUBJECT:        Orbital Debris Assessment Report (ODAR) for the ELaNa [TBD] Mission
                                    (DRAFT)

                    FEERENCES:

                        A. NASA Procedural Requirements for Limiting Orbital Debris Generation, NPR
                           8715.6A, 5 February 2008
                        B. Process for Limiting Orbital Debris, NASA-STD-8719.14A, 25 May 2012
                        C. Email, “FW: ISS Orbital Parameters” Scott Higginbotham to Justin Treptow,
                           March 7, 2014
                        D. Kwas, Robert. Thermal Analysis of ELaNa-4 CubeSat Batteries, ELVL-2012-
                           0043254; Nov 2012
                        E. Range Safety User Requirements Manual Volume 3- Launch Vehicles, Payloads,
                           and Ground Support Systems Requirements, AFSCM 91-710 V3.
                        F. HQ OSMA Policy Memo/Email to 8719.14: CubeSat Battery Non-Passivation,
                           Suzanne Aleman to Justin Treptow, 10, March 2014



                    Version: DRAFT – Technical information in this DRAFT is subject to change. Please see
                    official release for finalized components and analysis.



                    The intent of this report is to satisfy the orbital debris requirements listed in ref. (a) for
                    the ELaNa [TBD] mission. Sections 1 through 8 of ref. (b) are addressed in this
                    document; sections 9 through 14 are not applicable and are not presented here.




                                                                                                                     3


The following table summarizes the compliance status of the ELaNa [TBD] auxiliary
payload mission flown on the [TBD] CRS launch, inside the [Orbital Sciences Cygnus or
Falcon 9] vehicle. The ELaNa [TBD] CubeSat is fully compliant with all applicable
requirements.


            Table 1: Orbital Debris Requirement Compliance Matrix
Requirement                Compliance Assessment     Comments
4.3-1a                     Not applicable            No planned debris release
4.3-1b                     Not applicable            No planned debris release
4.3-2                      Not applicable            No planned debris release
4.4-1                      Compliant                 Minimal risk to orbital
                                                     environment, mitigated by
                                                     orbital lifetime.
4.4-2                      Compliant                 Minimal risk to orbital
                                                     environment, mitigated by
                                                     orbital lifetime.
4.4-3                      Not applicable            No planned breakups
4.4-4                      Not applicable            No planned breakups
4.5-1                      Compliant
4.5-2                      Not applicable
4.6-1(a)                   Compliant                 Worst case lifetime 1.1 yrs
4.6-1(b)                   Not applicable
4.6-1(c)                   Not applicable
4.6-2                      Not applicable
4.6-3                      Not applicable
4.6-4                      Not applicable            Passive disposal
4.6-5                      Compliant
4.7-1                      Compliant                 Non-credible risk of human
                                                     casualty
4.8-1                      Compliant                 No planned tether release




                                                                                    4


 Section 1: Program Management and Mission Overview

 The ELaNa [TBD] mission is sponsored by the Space Operations Mission Directorate at
 NASA Headquarters and is made of the CSUNSat1 CubeSat. The Program Executive is
 Jason Crusan. Responsible program/project manager and senior scientific and
 management personnel are as follows:

 CSUNSat1: Sharlene Katz, Ph.D, Principle Investigator;




                 Program Milestone Schedule
                         Task                                 Date
                    CubeSat Selection                         [TBD]
             CubeSat Delivery to NanoRacks                    [TBD]
            CubeSat Integration into NanoRacks
                                                              [TBD]
              CubeSat Dispenser (NRCSD)
                         Launch                              Late 2016

                        Figure 1: Program Milestone Schedule


 The ELaNa [TBD] mission will be launched as a payload of the [Cygnus / Dragon]
 resupply vehicle on the [CRS] mission on an [Atlas V / Falcon 9] launch vehicle from
 CCAFS, Fl. The CubeSat slotted position is identified in Table 2: ELaNa [TBD] CubeSat
 and in the Appendix. The current launch date is in late 2016. CSUNSat1 will be deployed
 from a NRCSD dispenser from the ISS, placing the CubeSats in an orbit approximately
 400 X 400 km at inclination of 51.6 deg (ref. (c)).

 CSUNSat1 is in a 2U form factor of 10 cm x 10cm x 22.7 cm, with mass of 2.16kg.


 Section 2: Spacecraft Description

 The primary CubeSat will be deployed out of an individual dispenser, as shown in Table
 2: ELaNa [TBD] CubeSat below.

                            Table 2: ELaNa [TBD] CubeSat

Dispenser   CubeSat                                            CubeSat        CubeSat
                                   CubeSat size
   Slot     Quantity                                            Names        Masses (kg)
    A          1          2U (10 cm X 10 cm X 22.7 cm)        CSUNSat1          2.16




                                                                                          5


CSUNSat1 CubeSat Description
CSUNSat1 – California State University Northridge (CSUN) / Jet Propulsion
Laboratory(JPL) – 2U




                           Figure 2: CSUNSat1 Xray View


CSUNSat1 is a 2U CubeSat jointly developed by California State University Northridge
(CSUN) and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). The objective of the CSUNSat1
mission is to space test a new low-temperature capable, Li-ion battery/supercapacitor
hybrid power system. This innovation would reduce the mass and volume of power
systems and eliminate the need for wasteful battery heaters and thereby increase the
amount of energy and power available at for low-temperatures science and engineering
operations encountered in deep space missions.

30 minutes after release from the deployer, CSUNSat1 will power up and execute an
initialization process that includes charging the spacecraft battery and deploying the
antenna. After initialization the follow mission phases will be executed.
  Spacecraft Checkout: A set of tests to verify spacecraft performance and charge the
   spacecraft battery
  Payload Checkout: A single charge/discharge cycle of the payload battery
  Primary Experiments: A series of ground station controlled designed to characterize
   the battery, supercapacitors, and hybrid system at several temperatures
  Extended Mission: Based on the successful performance of the primary experiments,
   the satellite will switch from the spacecraft to the payload battery as the primary
   source of stored energy for the remainder of the mission.

The primary CSUNSat1 structure is made of 5052-H32 Aluminum. The radio and
beacon use an ISIS Deployable Antenna System (Double UHF Dipole) made from
Aluminum 6082, Polycarbonate, and Nitinol. The solar panel substrates are made of
Aluminum 6061 with XTJ cells mounted on them. The remaining components contain all


                                                                                         6


standard commercial off the shelf (COTS) materials, electrical components, and PCBs.
CSUNSat1 has no propulsion and no attitude control.

There are no pressure vessels, hazardous or exotic materials.

The spacecraft’s electrical power storage system consists of Panasonic NCR18650
Lithium batteries. The payload experiment battery is a A123 Systems/Navitas 26650 Li-
ion Cell (Manufacturer Serial # TXN10293).




                          Figure 3: 2U CubeSat Specification




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Section 3: Assessment of Spacecraft Debris Released during Normal Operations

The assessment of spacecraft debris requires the identification of any object (>1 mm)
expected to be released from the spacecraft any time after launch, including object
dimensions, mass, and material.

Section 3 requires rationale/necessity for release of each object, time of release of each
object, relative to launch time, release velocity of each object with respect to spacecraft,
expected orbital parameters (apogee, perigee, and inclination) of each object after release,
calculated orbital lifetime of each object, including time spent in Low Earth Orbit (LEO),
and an assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.3-1 and 4.3-2.

No releases are planned on the ELaNa [TBD] CubeSat mission therefore this section is
not applicable.


Section 4: Assessment of Spacecraft Intentional Breakups and Potential for
Explosions.

There are NO plans for designed spacecraft breakups, explosions, or intentional
collisions on the ELaNa [TBD] mission. No passivation of components is planned at the
End of Mission for the CubeSats on this mission.

The probability of battery explosion is very low, and, due to the very small mass of the
satellites and their short orbital lifetimes the effect of an explosion on the far-term LEO
environment is negligible (ref (f)).

The CubeSats batteries still meet Req. 56450 (4.4-2) by virtue of the HQ OSMA policy
regarding CubeSat battery disconnect stating;

       “CubeSats as a satellite class need not disconnect their batteries if flown in LEO
       with orbital lifetimes less than 25 years.” (ref. (f))

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.4-1 through 4.4-4 shows that
with a lifetime of 1.1 years maximum the CSUNSat1 is compliant.




                                                                                              8


Section 5: Assessment of Spacecraft Potential for On-Orbit Collisions

 Calculation of spacecraft probability of collision with space objects larger than 10 cm in
diameter during the orbital lifetime of the spacecraft takes into account both the mean
cross sectional area and orbital lifetime.

                          ∑ 𝑺𝒖𝒓𝒇𝒂𝒄𝒆 𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂 [𝟐 ∗ (𝒘 ∗ 𝒍) + 𝟒 ∗ (𝒘 ∗ 𝒉)]
            𝑴𝒆𝒂𝒏 𝑪𝑺𝑨 =                     =
                                 𝟒                       𝟒
             Equation 1: Mean Cross Sectional Area for Convex Objects


                                       (𝑨𝒎𝒂𝒙 + 𝑨𝟏 + 𝑨𝟏 )
                            𝑴𝒆𝒂𝒏 𝑪𝑺𝑨 =
                                               𝟐
            Equation 2: Mean Cross Sectional Area for Complex Objects
CSUNSat1 is evaluated for this ODAR, stowed in a convex configuration, indicating
there are no elements of the CubeSats obscuring another element of the same CubeSats
from view. Thus, mean CSA for all stowed CubeSats was calculated using Equation 1.
This configuration renders the longest orbital life times for all CubeSats.

Once a CubeSat has been ejected from the P-POD and deployables have been extended
Equation 2 is utilized to determine the mean CSA. Amax is identified as the view that
yields the maximum cross-sectional area. A1 and A2 are the two cross-sectional areas
orthogonal to Amax. Refer to Appendix A for dimensions used in these calculations

CSUNSat1 orbit at deployment is 400 km perigee altitude by 400 km apogee altitude,
with an inclination of 51.6 degrees. With an area to mass (2.16 kg) ratio of 0.0128 m2/kg,
DAS yields 1.1 years for orbit lifetime for its stowed state, which in turn is used to obtain
the collision probability. CSUNSat1 sees less than 0x10^-5 probability of collision. Table
4 below provides complete results.




                                                                                            9


Table 3: CubeSat Orbital Lifetime & Collision Probability



                                                  CSUNSat1
                          Mass (kg)                 2.16

                    Mean C/S Area (m^2)           0.0277




      Stowed
                   Area-to Mass (m^2/kg)          0.0128
                    Orbital Lifetime (yrs)          1.1
                 Probability of collision (1:X)   0.00000


      Deployed      Mean C/S Area (m^2)           0.0289
                   Area-to Mass (m^2/kg)          0.0134
                    Orbital Lifetime (yrs)          1.0
                 Probability of collision (1:X)   0.00000




                                                             10


              Figure 4: Orbit Collision vs. Altitude (CSUNSat1 Stowed)

 There will be no post-mission disposal operation. As such the identification of all
systems and components required to accomplish post-mission disposal operation,
including passivation and maneuvering, is not applicable.

The probability of the CSUNSat1 spacecraft collision with debris and meteoroids greater
than 10 cm in diameter and capable of preventing post-mission disposal has been
calculated to be less than 0x10^-5 probability of collision, for any configuration. This
satisfies the 0.001 maximum probability requirement 4.5-1.

Since the CubeSat have no capability or plan for end-of-mission disposal, requirement
4.5-2 is not applicable.

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.5-1 shows CSUNSat1 to be
compliant. Requirement 4.5-2 is not applicable to this mission.




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Section 6: Assessment of Spacecraft Postmission Disposal Plans and Procedures

The CSUNSat1 spacecraft will naturally decay from orbit within 1.0 years after being
deployed, satisfying requirement 4.6-1a detailing the spacecraft disposal option.

Planning for spacecraft maneuvers to accomplish postmission disposal is not applicable.
Disposal is achieved via passive atmospheric reentry.

Calculating the area-to-mass ratio for the worst-case (smallest Area-to-Mass) post-
mission disposal of CSUNSat1, in its stowed configuration as the worst case. The area-
to-mass is calculated for is as follows:

                 𝑴𝒆𝒂𝒏 𝑪⁄𝑺 𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂 (𝒎𝟐 )                     𝒎𝟐
                                     = 𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂 − 𝒕𝒐 − 𝑴𝒂𝒔𝒔 ( )
                    𝑴𝒂𝒔𝒔 (𝒌𝒈)                            𝒌𝒈


                               Equation 3: Area to Mass


                                0.0227 𝑚2          𝑚2
                                          = 0.0128
                                 2.16 𝑘𝑔           𝑘𝑔

CSUNSat1 results in the worst case orbital lifetime of 1.1 years. The assessment of the
spacecraft illustrates they are compliant with Requirements 4.6-1 through 4.6-5.

DAS 2.0.2 Orbital Lifetime Calculations:

DAS inputs are: 400 km maximum perigee 400 km maximum apogee altitudes with an
inclination of 51.6 degrees at deployment from the ISS sometime after September of
2016. The area to mass ratio of 0.0128 m2/kg was imputed for the CSUNSat1. DAS 2.0.2
yields a 1.1 years of orbit lifetime of CSUNSat1 in its stowed / non-deployed state.

This meets requirement 4.6-1. For the complete list of CubeSat orbital lifetimes reference
Table 3: CubeSat Orbital Lifetime & Collision Probability.

Assessment results show compliance.




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   Section 7: Assessment of Spacecraft Reentry Hazards

   A detailed assessment of the components to be flown on ELaNa [TBD] was performed.
   The assessment used DAS 2.0, a conservative tool used by the NASA Orbital Debris
   Office to verify Requirement 4.7-1. The analysis is intended to provide a bounding
   analysis for characterizing the survivability of a CubeSat’s component during re-entry.
   For example, when DAS shows a component surviving reentry it is not taking into
   account the material ablating away or charring due to oxidative heating. Both physical
   effects are experienced upon reentry and will decrease the mass and size of the real-life
   components as the reenter the atmosphere, reducing the risk they pose still further.

   The following steps are used to identify and evaluate a components potential reentry risk
   relative to the 4.7-1 requirement, where the risk to human casualty shall not exceed
   1:10,000. There is not enough energy to cause a human casualty if the surviving reentry
   component has less than 15J.

              1. Low melting temperature (less than 1000 °C) components are identified as
                 materials that would not survive reentry and pose no risk to human
                 casualty. This is confirmed through DAS analysis that showed materials
                 with melting temperatures equal to or below that of copper (1080 °C) will
                 always demise upon reentry for any size component up to the dimensions
                 of a 1U CubeSat.

              2. The remaining high temperature materials are shown to pose negligible
                 risk to human casualty through a bounding DAS analysis of the highest
                 temperature components, stainless steel (1500°C). If a component is of
                 similar dimensions and has a melting temperature between 1000 °C and
                 1500°C, it can be expected to posses the same negligible risk as stainless
                 steel components. See Table 4.

                   Table 4: ELaNa [TBD] High Temperature DAS Analysis
                                                                               Total Debris
           KickSat-2 High Temp                  Length /     Width   Height
 CubeSat                          Mass (g)                                    Casualty Area   KE (J)   Probability
               Components                    Diameter (mm)   (mm)    (mm)
                                                                                  (m^2)
             ISIS Deployable
CSUNSAT1                            10            1.5         120      5          0.39          0          1:0
            Antenna Elements
             LiFePO4 Battery
CSUNSAT1    (contains Stainless     63            33           -      65          0.42          0          1:0
                  Steel)


   The majority of components demise upon reentry. The components that survive re-entry
   show 0 J of energy on impact. From the Debris Casualty Area and the deployment orbit,
   the probability of human casualty is calculated by DAS results in a 0 probability,
   satisfying the requirement (1/10,000).

   Through the method described above, Table 4: ELaNa [TBD] High Temperature DAS
   Analysis, and the full component lists in the Appendix the KickSat-2 mission
   components are conservatively shown to be in compliance with Requirement 4.7-1 of
   NASA-STD-8719.14A.



                                                                                                          13


Section 8: Assessment for Tether Missions

ELaNa [TBD] will not be deploying any tethers.

ELaNa [TBD] satisfy, Section 8’s requirement 4.8-1.




                                                      14


Section 9-14

ODAR sections 9 through 14 for the launch vehicle and are not covered here.

If you have any questions, please contact the undersigned at 321-867-2958.

/original signed by/

Justin Treptow
Flight Design Analyst
NASA/KSC/VA-H1

cc:   VA-H/Mr. Carney
       VA-H1/Mr. Beaver
       VA-H1/Mr. Haddox
       VA-C/Mr. Higginbotham
       VA-G2/Mr. Poffenberger
       SA-D2/Mr. Hale
       SA-D2/Mr. Hidalgo
       SA-D2/Mr. Hibshman
       AIS-22/Ms. Nighswonger




                                                                              15


                         Appendix Index:

Appendix A.   ELaNa [TBD] Component List




                                           16


   Appendix A.           ELaNa [TBD] Component List

                                              External/Intern                                                               Diameter/
            Row                                                                                                      Mass               Length    Height
CubeSat                     Name              al (Major/Minor     QTY               Material           Body Type             Width                          Melting Temp (°C)   Comment
           Number                                                                                                     (g)                (mm)     (mm)
                                                Components)                                                                   (mm)
                      CSUNSat1( Entire
CSUNSat1                                             -               -                  -              Assembly      2160     100        100       227              -                -
                        Assembly)
                                                                             Aluminum 5052-H32,
CSUNSat1     1        CubeSat Structure       External - Major      1                                     Box        254      100        100       227      Low Melting Temp     Demise
                                                                                Stainless Steel
                     ISIS UHF Antenna
CSUNSat1     2                                External - Major      1           Aluminum 6061             Box        100       98         98        7       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                         (undeployed)
                       ISIS Deployable
CSUNSat1     3                                External - Major      4              NiTi Alloy          Strip metal    10       1.5       120        5             1981          See Table 4
                      Antenna Elements
CSUNSat1     4           Solar Panels         External - Major      4           Aluminum 6061            Panel       100       1.6        82       224      Low Melting Temp     Demise
                     Hot Shunt Regulator
CSUNSat1     5                                External - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        37       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                           Board
CSUNSat1     6         Processor Board        Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        93       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                    Cold Shunt Regulator
CSUNSat1     7                                Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        49       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                           Board
CSUNSat1     8      Battery Control Board     Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board       104       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                         Panasonic
CSUNSat1                                      Internal - Minor      1                Li-ion             Cylinder      46       19                   65      Low Melting Temp     Demise
                     NCR18650B Battery
                    Power Processing Unit
CSUNSat1     9                                Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        77       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                             1
                    Power Processing Unit
CSUNSat1     10                               Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        49       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                             2
CSUNSat1     11      Radio Beacon Board       Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        79       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
CSUNSat1     12     RF Multiplexer Board      Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board       106       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
CSUNSat1     13         Pigtail Board         Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        50       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
CSUNSat1     14         Payload Board         Internal - Major      1          FR4/ Sn solder/Cu         Board        50       96         92        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
CSUNSat1                   Battery            Internal - Major      1        LiFePO4/Stainless steel    Cylinder      75       26                   65            1500          See Table 4
CSUNSat1               Supercapacitors        Internal - Major      2           1100 Aluminum           Cylinder      63       33                   65      Low Melting Temp     Demise
                      Battery/Capacitor
CSUNSat1                                      Internal - Major      1              Aluminum               Box        315       10         10        5       Low Melting Temp     Demise
                           Clamp
CSUNSat1     15     Standoffs, nuts, screws   Internal - Minor   mulitiple     Aluminum/ Copper         various       48     various    various   various   Low Melting Temp     Demise




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Document Modified: 2015-10-01 17:00:59

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