1 AC14 ODAR signed

0520-EX-CN-2019 Pre Coordination Document

Aerospace Corporation, The

2019-07-19ELS_234325

AC14 ODAR                                                                               The Aerospace Corporation


                                       AeroCube 14 (AC14)
                   Orbital Debris Assessment Report (ODAR)
                                  Report Version: 1.0, 17 April 2019


      Prepared for NASA in compliance with NPR 8715.6A by The Aerospace Corporation.




                            Software used in this analysis: NASA DAS v2.0.2



  Revision           Date                      Pages                   Description            Author
    1.0           17 Apr 2019                   13                    Initial Release         B. Hardy




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ACI4 ODAR                                                                    The Aerospace Corporation


                         VERSION APPROVAL and FINAL APPROVAL*:




                   The Aerospace Corporation




                z&-
                   Brian Hardy
                   Principal Investigator
                   AeroCube 14
                   The Aerospace Corporation




                  Project
                  AeroCube 14
                  The Aerospace Corporation




*   Approval signatures indicate responsibility that the information in the ODAR is correct.

**   Signatures required only for Final ODAR




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AC14 ODAR                                                                                               The Aerospace Corporation


Self-Assessment of Requirements per NASA-STD 8719.14A
                                                                                                 Compliance
 Requirement                                                                                                  Comments
                                                                                                 Assessment
           All debris released during the deployment, operation, and disposal phases shall                    AC14 will release
 4.3-1a    be limited to a maximum orbital lifetime of 25 years from date of release.            Compliant    no debris.
           The total object-time product shall be no larger than 100 object-years per                         AC14 will release
 4.3-1b    mission.                                                                              Compliant    no debris.
           For missions leaving debris in orbits with the potential of traversing GEO,                        AC14 will not
           released debris with diameters of 5 cm or greater shall be left in orbits which
 4.3-2     will ensure that within 25 years after release the apogee will no longer exceed       Compliant    operate in or near
           GEO-200 km.                                                                                        GEO.
           For each spacecraft employed for a mission, the program or project shall
 4.4-1     demonstrate…that the integrated probability of explosion for all credible             Compliant
           failure modes of each spacecraft is less than 0.001.
           Design of all spacecraft shall include the ability and a plan to deplete all
           onboard sources of stored energy and disconnect all energy generation sources
 4.4-2     when they are no longer required for mission operations or post-mission               Compliant
           disposal or control to a level which cannot cause an explosion or deflagration
           large enough to release orbital debris or break up the spacecraft.
           Planned explosions or intentional collisions shall: a) be conducted at an                          AC14 has no
           altitude such that for orbital debris fragments larger than 10 cm the object-time                  planned explosions
 4.4-3     product does not exceed 100 object-years, and b) not generate debris larger           Compliant    or intentional
           than 1 mm that remains in Earth orbit longer than one year.                                        collisions.
                                                                                                              AC14 has no
           Immediately before a planned explosion or intentional collision, the probability
                                                                                                              planned explosions
 4.4-4     of debris, orbital or ballistic, larger than 1 mm colliding with any operating        Compliant    or intentional
           spacecraft within 24 hours of the breakup shall be verified to not exceed 10e-6.
                                                                                                              collisions.
           For each spacecraft in or passing through LEO, the program shall demonstrate
 4.5-1     that, during the orbital lifetime of each spacecraft, the probability of accidental   Compliant
           collision with space objects larger than 10 cm in diameter is less an 0.001.
           For each spacecraft, the program shall demonstrate that, during the mission of
           the spacecraft, the probability of accidental collision with orbital debris and
 4.5-2     meteoroids sufficient to prevent compliance with the applicable post-mission          Compliant
           disposal requirements is less than 0.01.
           A spacecraft with a perigee altitude below 2000 km shall be disposed of by one
           of the following three methods: a) leave the space structure in an orbit in which
           natural forces will lead to atmospheric reentry within 25 years, b) maneuver                       AC14 will use
 4.6-1     the space structure into a controlled de-orbit trajectory, c) maneuver the space      Compliant    natural orbit decay.
           structure into an orbit with perigee altitude above 2000 km and apogee less
           than GEO-500 km.
                                                                                                              AC14 will not
           A spacecraft or orbital stage in an orbit near GEO shall be maneuvered at EOM
 4.6-2     to a disposal orbit above GEO.                                                        Compliant    operate in or near
                                                                                                              GEO.
           For space structures between LEO and GEO, a spacecraft shall be left in an                         AC14 will not
           orbit with a perigee greater than 2000 km above the Earth’s surface and apogee
 4.6-3     less than 500 km below GEO, and a spacecraft shall not use nearly circular            Compliant    operate in or near
           disposal orbits near regions of high-value operational space structures.                           MEO.
           NASA space programs shall ensure that all post-mission disposal operations to
 4.6-4     meet the above requirements are designed for a probability of success of no           Compliant
           less than 0.90 at EOM.
           For uncontrolled reentry, the risk of human casualty from surviving debris
 4.7-1     shall not exceed 0.0001.                                                              Compliant
           Intact and remnants of severed tether systems in Earth orbit shall meet the
                                                                                                              AC14 has no tether
 4.8-1     requirements limiting the generation of orbital debris from on-orbit collisions       Compliant    system.
           and the requirements governing post-mission disposal.




NOTE: AC14 is currently manifested to fly as a secondary payload. Compliance with
requirements levied by NASA-STD 8719.14A on the launch vehicle will be the responsibility of
the primary payload and/or launch provider.


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AC14 ODAR                                                                 The Aerospace Corporation


Section 1: Program Management and Mission Overview
Mission Directorate: The Aerospace Corporation, Small Satellite Department
Program Executive: Darren Rowen

Mission Director: Brian Hardy, The Aerospace Corporation
Program Manager: David Wu, The Aerospace Corporation

Foreign government or space agency participation: none

Nominal Schedule of Mission Design and Development:

                       Event                                        Date
                       Project initiation                     April 2018
                       System Requirements Review (SRR)       June 2018
                       Design Review (DR)                     October 2018
                       Mission Readiness Review (MRR)         September 2019
                       Delivery                               September 2019
                       Target launch date                     October 2019

Brief Description of the Mission: The AeroCube 14 (AC14) program consists of two identical
spacecraft, AeroCube 14 A&B (AC14-A and AC14-B), that will demonstrate new star-tracker
baffle technology, a variety of nanotechnology payloads, and test the performance of advanced
solar cells.

Identification of the anticipated launch vehicle and launch site: AC14 is manifested as part of
an upcoming Commercial Resupply Service mission to the International Space Station (ISS).
AC14 will be deployed directly from the resupply spacecraft at the end of its mission. The
resupply mission will launch from the Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport on Antares 230/Cygnus.
The mission orbit will be circular between 470 km and 500 km and will be inclined 51.6°.

Identification of the proposed launch date and mission duration: The AC14 mission
anticipates a launch in October 2019. The main mission phase is approximately 12 months.

Description of the launch and deployment profile: The AC14 spacecraft will be deployed
from the launch vehicle from a CubeSat dispenser. Typically, the launch vehicle will optimize
separation timing to reduce the likelihood of collision between CubeSats. Each AC14 will fill a
3U slot in a flight qualified spacecraft dispenser.

Reason for selection of operational orbit: As a secondary payload, AC14 has no control over
the selection of operational orbit. AC14 can perform its mission in any LEO orbit, although the
altitude must be low enough to ensure natural decay and reentry within the timeframe specified
by NPR8751.6A. The altitude to which the deployment vehicle and its payloads will be delivered
(including AC14) satisfies that requirement.



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AC14 ODAR                                                                  The Aerospace Corporation


Identification of any interaction or potential physical interference with other operational
spacecraft: As one of many CubeSats deployed on the mission, there is a small risk of contact
between AC14 and another CubeSat. The timing of satellite deployments from the dispenser is
intended to mitigate this risk as much as possible. Debris mitigation for the deployment process
is the responsibility of the launch vehicle. In the event of contact shortly after deployment, the
relative velocities between CubeSats is on the order of centimeters per second, which would not
provide enough force to cause catastrophic breakup of the satellites or generate significant
amounts of debris (the glass coverings of solar cells may crack). The launch vehicle trajectory
and mission plan is designed to ensure there is no risk to the primary payload. There is no
anticipated risk to any other operational spacecraft.

Section 2: Spacecraft Description

Physical Description: The AC14 spacecraft are 3U CubeSats with outer dimensions of 34 cm x
11 cm x 11 cm. Deployable solar panels extend off the long axis of the spacecraft with
dimensions 34 cm x 10 cm. The exterior bus is made from 6061-T6 aluminum and houses all
payload and electronics components.

Total spacecraft mass at launch: The AC14 spacecraft will weigh 3.5 kg at launch.

Dry mass of spacecraft at launch: The AC14 spacecraft have no propulsion system. The dry
mass is 3.5 kg.

Description of all propulsion systems: The AC14 spacecraft have no propulsion system.

Identification of all fluids planned to be on board: The AC14 spacecraft carry no fluids.

Description of all active and/or passive attitude control systems with an indication of the
normal attitude of the spacecraft with respect to the velocity vector: AC14 has 3-axis attitude
control via nine torque rods and three “pico” reaction wheels. The torque rods are a mutually
orthogonal triad of coiled wire, wrapped around a high magnetic permeability alloy that can
generate a magnetic dipole of 0.15-0.2 A-m2 when the satellite passes current through the wire.
The rods generate negligible magnetic field when powered off. The torque rods are made from
35.5 cm-diameter mu-metal rods that are 5.5 cm long. The pico reaction wheels have flight
heritage on three AeroCube-4, three AeroCube-5, and one AeroCube-7 spacecraft. Attitude
sensors include Earth nadir sensors, two-axis Sun sensors on various spacecraft surfaces, a 3-axis
magnetometer, and two-star trackers of the same type and model that are flying on AeroCube-7.
A high-accuracy 3-axis rate gyro will be used to provide an inertial attitude reference when 0.7°
or better pointing accuracy is required and the Sun and Earth are not simultaneously visible by an
appropriate sensor, and a medium-resolution 3-axis rate gyro and 3-axis magnetometer will serve
as a backup.

Description of any range safety or other pyrotechnic devices: AC14 has no pyrotechnic
devices.

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AC14 ODAR                                                                   The Aerospace Corporation


Description of the electrical generation and storage system: Power for the AC14 spacecraft is
generated by solar cells mounted onto panels that will be deployed from both sides of the bus, as
well as cells affixed to the spacecraft bus. These cells are capable of producing up to 23 W of
power. Power is stored on-board with lithium-ion batteries. The satellite has 4 batteries mounted
in an aluminum 6061-T6 structure as a unit and are shock and thermally isolated by a
thermoplastic mount. Each battery is composed of two cells. Two batteries are rated at 10 W-hr
while the other two are rated at 9 W-hr, for a total of 38 W-hr on the spacecraft. Specific details
of the batteries’ manufacture appear in Section 4.

Identification of any other sources of stored energy: There are no other sources of stored
energy on AC14.

Identification of any radioactive materials on board: AC14 carries no radioactive materials.

Section 3: Assessment of Spacecraft Debris Released during Normal
Operations
Identification of any object (>1 mm) expected to be released from the spacecraft any time
after launch: AC14 will release no objects into space during normal operations.

Rationale/necessity for release of each object: N/A

Time of release of each object, relative to launch time: N/A

Release velocity of each object with respect to spacecraft: N/A

Expected orbital parameters (apogee, perigee, inclination) of each object after release: N/A

Calculated orbital lifetime of each object, including time spent in LEO: N/A

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.3-1 and 4.3-2:

Requirement 4.3-1a: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.3-1b: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.3-2: COMPLIANT

Section 4: Assessment of Spacecraft Intentional Breakups and
Potential for Explosion
Identification of all potential causes of spacecraft breakup during deployment and mission
operations: There is no credible scenario that would result in spacecraft breakup during normal
deployment and operations.

Summary of failure modes and effects analyses of all credible failure modes that may lead
to an accidental explosion:

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AC14 ODAR                                                                        The Aerospace Corporation


Battery risk: A possible malfunction of the lithium ion or lithium polymer batteries or of the
control circuit has been identified as a potential, but low probability, cause of accidental breakup
or explosion. Natural degradation of the solar cells and batteries will occur over the post-mission
period and poses an increased chance of undesired battery-energy release. The battery capacity
for storage will degrade over time, possibly leading to changes in the acceptable charge rate for
the cells. Individual cells may also change properties at different rates due to time degradation
and temperature changes. The control circuit may also malfunction as a result of exposure over
long periods of time. The cell pressure relief vents could be blocked by small contaminants. Any
of these individual or combined effects may theoretically cause an electro-chemical reaction that
results in rapid energy release in the form of combustion.

Notwithstanding these potential sources of energy release, AC14 still meets Requirement 4.4-2
as the on-board batteries cannot “cause an explosion or deflagration large enough to release
orbital debris or break up the spacecraft.” Underwriters Laboratories (UL) certifies the batteries
used on AC14. In general, these batteries are similar in size and power to cell phone batteries.



                 Model Number                                 Number
                                          Manufacturer                    Energy Stored
                  (UL Listing)                                of Cells
                                                                         <=10 W-hr per cell
                   ICR18650M                   Molicel            2
                                                                          (2 batteries total)
                                                                         <=9 W-hr per cell
                   INR18650A                   Molicel            2
                                                                          (2 batteries total)


The batteries are consumer-oriented devices. The batteries have been recognized as UL tested
and approved. UL recognition has been determined through the UL Online Certifications
Directory, which clearly shows that these cell batteries have undergone and passed UL
Standards. Furthermore, safety devices incorporated in these batteries include pressure release
valves, over-current charge protection, and over-current discharge protection.

The fact that the AC14 batteries are UL recognized indicates that they have passed the UL
standard testing procedures that characterize their explosive potential. Of particular concern to
NASA is UL Standard 1642, which specifically deals with the testing of lithium batteries.
Section 20 Projectile Test of UL 1642 subjects the test battery to heat by flame while within an
aluminum- and steel-wire-mesh octagonal box, “[where the test battery] shall remain on the
screen until it explodes, or the cell or battery has ignited and burned out” (UL 1642 20.5). To
pass the test, “no part of an exploding cell or battery shall penetrate the wire screen such that
some or all of the cell or battery protrudes through the screen” (UL 1642 20.1).

It is reasonable to expect the batteries on AC14 to experience similar conditions during their
orbital life span. While the sources of failure would not be external heat on orbit, analysis of the


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AC14 ODAR                                                                                     The Aerospace Corporation


expected mission thermal environment shows that given the low power dissipation for CubeSats,
the batteries will be exposed to a maximum temperature well below their 212° F (100° C) safe
operation limit. Continual charging with 2 to 6 W average power from the solar panels over an
orbital life span greater than 15 years may expose the batteries to overcharging, which could
cause similar heat to be generated internally. Through the UL recognition and testing, it has been
shown that these batteries do not cause an explosion that would cause a fragmentation of the
spacecraft.

In addition to the aforementioned certification of the AC14 batteries against explosion, ten
potential failure modes for lithium batteries and their applicability or mitigation in AC14 are
addressed in the following table:

       Failure Mode                            Applicability or Mitigation
                                               The AC14 body and internal design prevents deformation or crushing
 1     Internal short circuit
                                               of the batteries that could lead to internal short circuit.
       Internal thermal rise due to high
 2                                             See Failure Mode #4.
       load discharge rate
                                               The battery cells on AC14 have charge interrupt devices that activate
       Overcharging and excessive
 3                                             during cell internal pressure buildup (due to cell internal chemical that
       charge rate
                                               forms a gas) that occurs during overcharging conditions.
       Excessive discharge rate or short       The bus batteries have an internal positive temperature coefficient
 4     circuit due to external device          (PTC) device that acts as a resettable fuse during external short circuit
       failure                                 that limits the cell output current during such an event.
                                               Vents have access through the structure that holds them and into the
 5     Inoperable vents                        larger satellite volume. Venting will not be inhibited by physical
                                               obstructions.
 6     Crushing                                Satellite body and internal design prevent loads on battery cases.
       Low level current leakage or short
       circuit through battery pack case
 7                                             Satellites are stored in a controlled environment.
       or due to moisture-based
       degradation of insulators
                                               Thermal sensors on the batteries provide telemetry on battery
       Excess temperatures due to orbital      temperature. There is no cutoff for overheating batteries except
 8     environment and high discharge          whatever is inherent in the cell itself. However, as noted earlier in this
       combined                                section of the ODAR, the batteries on AC14 are UL-certified as non-
                                               explosive in over-heating scenarios.
       Polarity reversal due to over-          A 2.7 V discharge cutoff threshold circuit in AC14 has been verified
 9
       discharge                               in acceptance tests for the electric power system.
       Excess battery temperatures due
       to post-mission orbital                 The circuit that charges the batteries cannot exceed 4.1 V and
 10
       environment and constant                therefore will never overcharge the batteries.
       overcharging


Through a combination of UL certification, compliance with AFSPCMAN 91-710 V3
requirements, and an understanding of the general behavior of the failure modes associated with
these types of batteries, it is possible to conclude that the batteries meet Requirement 4.4-2.

Detailed plan for any designed breakup, including explosions and intentional collisions:
AC14 has no plans for intentional breakups, explosions, or collisions.

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AC14 ODAR                                                                 The Aerospace Corporation


List of components, which are passivated at EOM: No systems on AC14 will require being
passivated at EOM.

Rationale for all items which are required to be passivated but cannot due to their design:
As described above, the batteries do not present a debris-generation hazard per Requirement 4.4-
2, and in the interest of not increasing the complexity of the AC14 power system, it was decided
not to passivate the batteries at EOM.

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.4-1 through 4.4-4:

Requirement 4.4-1: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.4-2: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.4-3: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.4-4: COMPLIANT

Section 5: Assessment of Spacecraft Potential for On-Orbit
Collisions
Collision probabilities have been calculated using DAS v2.0.2 with the assumption of the
maximum anticipated release altitude at a 500 km x 500 km altitude orbit, 51.6° inclination; 3.5
kg mass, and 0.035722 m2/kg area-to-mass ratio (the average area-to-mass configuration of the
spacecraft post-mission).

Calculation of spacecraft probability of collision with space objects larger than 10 cm in
diameter during the orbital lifetime of the spacecraft: Probability = 0.00000, per DAS v2.0.2.

Calculation of spacecraft probability of collision with space objects, including orbital
debris and meteoroids, of sufficient size to prevent post-mission disposal: Because the
mission has selected natural de-orbit (see Section 6) for disposal and no systems will be
passivated at EOM (see Section 4), small debris do not pose a threat to prevent post-mission
disposal.

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirements 4.5-1 and 4.5-2:

Requirement 4.5-1: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.5-2: COMPLIANT

Section 6: Assessment of Spacecraft Post-Mission Disposal Plans
and Procedures
Description of spacecraft disposal option selected: The AC14 mission has selected
atmospheric reentry for disposal. The vehicle is a 34 x 11 x 11 cm bus. The AC14 mass is 3.5 kg.
The minimum cross-sectional area for AC14 will be ~100 cm2, though the spacecraft will spend
most of its time in a tumble state, with an average cross-sectional area of about 500 cm2. DAS

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AC14 ODAR                                                                    The Aerospace Corporation


v2.0.2 analysis predicts a lifetime of 2-3 years, using the orbit assumptions listed at the
beginning of Section 5. This lifetime is compliant with ODAR requirements.

Identification of all systems or components required to accomplish any post-mission
disposal operation, including passivation and maneuvering: As discussed in Section 4, no
disposal or passivation is planned for AC14. Natural orbit decay is sufficient to deorbit the
spacecraft.

Plan for any spacecraft maneuvers required to accomplish post-mission disposal: None

Calculation of area-to-mass ratio after post-mission disposal, if the controlled reentry
option is not selected: N/A

Preliminary plan for spacecraft-controlled reentry: N/A

Assessment of compliance with Requirements 4.6-1 through 4.6-4:

Requirement 4.6-1: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.6-2: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.6-3: COMPLIANT
Requirement 4.6-4: COMPLIANT

Section 7: Assessment of Spacecraft Reentry Hazards
Detailed description of spacecraft components by size, mass, material, shape, and original
location on the space vehicle, if the atmospheric reentry option is selected: The AC14
vehicles are primarily constructed of aluminum and PCB electronic board material. The only
components with a higher density or resistance to melting are stainless steel screws, ceramic
patch antennas, and three small reaction wheels and the reaction wheel motor cases.

Requirement 4.7-1 requires that all surviving debris from an uncontrolled spacecraft reentry have
a risk of human casualty of less than 1:10,000. Human casualty is defined as an impact from an
object with an energy of at least 15 J. DAS v2.0.2 analysis predicts that no objects from the
AC14 spacecraft will survive reentry, posing zero risk of human casualty. Therefore, the
AeroCube 14 mission is fully compliant with Requirement 4.7-1.

Summary of objects expected to survive an uncontrolled reentry: DAS v2.0.2 analysis
predicts that no spacecraft objects will survive uncontrolled reentry.

Calculation of probability of human casualty for the expected year of uncontrolled reentry
and the spacecraft orbital inclination: Zero

Assessment of spacecraft compliance with Requirement 4.7-1:

Requirement 4.7-1: COMPLIANT

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AC14 ODAR                                                                The Aerospace Corporation


Section 8: Assessment for Tether Missions
The AC14 mission has no tether. All requirements are COMPLIANT.

Sections 9–14: Assessment of Launch Vehicle Debris
AC14 will fly as a secondary payload. Assessment of launch-vehicle debris is the responsibility
of the primary payload. These sections are N/A for AC14.




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Document Created: 2019-07-19 19:49:04
Document Modified: 2019-07-19 19:49:04

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